Tuesday, July 28, 2009

Fun with Forecasts

To continue for a moment on the hazards of straight-line projections—atomic power will be too cheap to meter!—see "The Lost History of Alternative Energy in America," which looks back at all those blue-sky predictions about how nuclear/solar/wind/etc. would liberate us from fossil fuels.

And yes, even Amory Lovins gets it wrong sometimes, although at least he had the sense to hedge.

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